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Is that really your opinion? A Model to Explain how Opinion Deviation occurs using the same Information Set under the conditions of a Polarized Political Environment
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Is that really your opinion? A Model to Explain how Opinion Deviation occurs using the same Information Set under the conditions of a Polarized Political Environment

Jenna Alexandra Lewis
Bachelor of Arts (BA), Brandeis University
05/05/2026
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.48617/etd.1547

Abstract

Political Behavior Political Participation Political Parties Political Science Political Theory Public Opinion

At a time when public trust has reached historic lows and partisan political tensions are

approaching untenable heights, it is increasingly difficult to recognize contradictory points of

view. Through the construction of a theoretical model on opinion formation behavior, this thesis

attempts to answer the question of how people, even with the same information, find themselves

opposed in numerous forms. The four factors of Bias, General Knowledge, Rhetoric, and

Environment are explored through a review of literature by prominent theorists, contemporary

examples of political behavior, and polling data, all combined in a theoretical model. The flow

chart depicts the causal relationship between the model’s factors and external pressures that

influence opinion outcomes, such as source or confirmation by peers. The four factors identified

represent the points of deviation before an individual reaches their opinion, providing a

framework for recognizing how others with opposing views reach their conclusions and how we

ourselves are influenced by external coercion, especially against the backdrop of contemporary

polarization. This model is applied to the abortion debate to illustrate how deconstructing

seemingly insurmountable opposition can help us reach practical policy solutions more

efficiently and identify the common root causes of political hostilities more effectively.

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